A new Polymarket prediction market shows President Bola Tinubu as the overwhelming favourite for the 2027 presidential election, with Peter Obi trailing far behind in second place.
As political calculations for the 2027 presidential election gather momentum, users of global prediction platform Polymarket are already putting money on who they believe will emerge victorious.
According to a report by TheCable, President Bola Tinubu currently enjoys a commanding lead on the decentralised prediction platform, where users stake funds on political outcomes and other major events.
A check of the market on Monday showed Tinubu holding a 68 percent probability rating, backed by more than $14,823 in trading volume. The projection places the APC candidate comfortably ahead of the pack as early betting activity begins to shape perceptions around the next presidential race.
Coming in second is Peter Obi, the presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), with a 25 percent probability rating and $5,937 in trade volume. Obi emerged unopposed as his party’s standard-bearer and remains one of the most closely watched contenders ahead of the election.
Other candidates are trailing significantly behind.
Current Polymarket Rankings:
- Bola Tinubu (APC) – 68% probability, $14,823 trade volume
- Peter Obi (NDC) – 25% probability, $5,937 trade volume
- Rotimi Amaechi (ADC) – 1.5% probability, $2,748 trade volume
- Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso (NDC running mate) – Less than 1%, $2,265 trade volume
- Omoyele Sowore (AAC) – Less than 1%, $2,926 trade volume
Tinubu secured the APC ticket after defeating his only challenger, Stanley Osifo, while Amaechi lost the ADC presidential ticket to former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar.
While prediction markets are not scientific polls and do not determine election outcomes, they offer an interesting glimpse into how traders and political observers currently view the race for Nigeria’s highest office.
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